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Remarks by John C. Bogle
Founder and Former Chairman, The Vanguard Group
at the Community Forum Distinguished Speaker Series
Bryn Mawr Presbyterian Church
Bryn Mawr, PA
February 24, 2003
As so many of us have read
in the gospel of Matthew: "A prophet is not without honor,
save in his own country." Yet by your invitation to speak
to you this evening you honor me, even as I stand here in
my own country! I live right down the road from this great
church, and for the better part of a half-century have regularly
attended Sunday worship services in the thrall of such extraordinary
preachers as David Watermulder and Eugene Bay, who have helped
me beyond measure in gaining enlightment, inspiration, and
faith.
While my remarks center on what went wrong
in corporate America, being in this sanctuary compels me to
begin with some words from the teacher Joseph Campbell: "In
medieval times, as you approached the city, your eye was taken
by the Cathedral. Today, it's the towers of commerce. It's
business, business, business." We have become what Campbell
calls "a bottom-line society." But our society,
I think, is measuring the wrong bottom line: form over
substance, prestige over virtue, money over achievement, charisma
over character, the ephemeral over the enduring.
I'm sure it does not escape you that Joseph
Campbell's analogy proved to be ominous. We have now witnessed
the total destruction of the proudest of all America's towers
of commerce, at New York's World Trade Center. We have seen
a $7 trillion collapse of the aggregate market value of America's
corporationsfrom $17 trillion to $10 trillion, in the
worst stock market crash since 1929-1933. And we've seen the
reputations of business leaders transmogrified from mighty
lions of corporate success to self-serving and less-than-trustworthy
executives, with several even doing "perp walks"
for the television cameras.
Our bottom-line society has a good bit to answer
for. As United Kingdom's Chief Rabbi Jonathan Sacks put it:
"When everything that matters can be bought and sold,
when commitments can be broken because they are no longer
to our advantage, when shopping becomes salvation and advertising
slogans become our litany, when our worth is measured by how
much we earn and spend, then the market is destroying the
very virtues on which in the long run it depends."
Tonight, I'd like to talk to you about what
went wrong in our capitalistic system, about what's now beginning
to go right, and about what you can do as a part-owner of
corporate America. Whether you own a common stock or a share
in a mutual fund, or participate in a private retirement plan,
you have a personal interest in bringing about reform. Both
as shareholders and as citizens, each of us must accept the
responsibility to build a better corporate world.
Capitalism - A Brief Review
Capitalism, Webster's Third International
Dictionary tells us, is "an economic system based
on corporate ownership of capital goods, with investment determined
by private decision, and with prices, production, and the
distribution of goods and services determined mainly in a
free market." Importantly, I would add, "a system
founded on, honesty, decency, and trust," for these attributes
too have been clearly established in its history.
As the world moved from an
agrarian society to an industrial society during the 18th
and 19th centuries, capitalism came to flourish. Local communities
became part of national (and then international) commerce,
trading expanded, and large accumulations of capital were
required to build the factories, transportation systems, and
banks on which the new economy would depend. Surprising as
it may seem, at the heart of this development, according to
an article in Forbes' recent 85th Anniversary issue1,
were the Quakers. In the 1700s and early 1800s, probably because
their legendary simplicity and thrift endowed them with the
capital to invest, they dominated the British economy, owners
of more than half of the country's ironworks and key players
in banking, consumer goods, and transatlantic trading. Their
emphasis on reliability, absolute honesty, and rigorous record-keeping
gave them trust as they dealt with one another, and other
observant merchants came to see that being trustworthy went
hand-in-hand with business success. Self-interest, in short,
demanded virtue.
This evolution, of course, is exactly what
the great Scottish economist/philosopher Adam Smith expected.
Writing in "The Wealth of Nations" in 1776, he famously
said, "The uniform and uninterrupted effort to better
his condition, the principle from which (both) public and
private opulence is originally derived, is frequently powerful
enough to maintain the natural progress of things toward improvement
. . . Each individual neither intends to promote the public
interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it . . . (but)
by directing his industry in such a matter as its produce
may be of the greatest value, he is led by an invisible
hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention."
And so it was to be, the Forbes essay
continued, that "the evolution of capitalism has been
in the direction of more trust and transparency and less self-serving
behavior. Not coincidentally, this evolution has brought with
it greater productivity and economic growth. Not because capitalists
are naturally good people, (but) because, the benefits of
trustof being trusting and of being trustworthyare
potentially immense, and because a successful market system
teaches people to recognize those benefits . . . a virtuous
circle in which an everyday level of trustworthiness breeds
an everyday level of trust." The system works!
Or at least it did
work. And then something went wrong. The system changed"a
pathological mutation in capitalism," as a recent essay
in the International Herald Tribune2
described it. The classic systemowners' capitalismhad
been based on a dedication to serving the interests of the
corporation's owners in maximizing the return on their
capital investment. But a new system developedmanagers'
capitalismin which "the corporation came to be
run to profit its managers, in complicity if not conspiracy
with accountants and the managers of other corporations."
Why did it happen? "Because," the author says, "the
markets had so diffused corporate ownership that no responsible
owner exists. This is morally unacceptable, but also a
corruption of capitalism itself."
The Broken Circle
What caused the mutation from virtuous circle
to vicious circle? It's easy to call it a failure of character,
a triumph of hubris and greed over honesty and integrity.
And it's even easier to lay it all to "just a few bad
apples." But while only a tiny minority of our business
and financial leaders have been implicated in criminal behavior,
I'm afraid that the barrel itselfthe very structure
that holds all those applesis bad. While that may seem
a harsh indictment, I believe it is a fair one. Consider that
Corporate Sages, Cheats, and Charlatans, a new book
by Reuters editor Martin Howell, lists fully 176(!) "red
flags," each of which describes a particular shortcoming
in our recent business, financial, and investment practices,
many of which I've witnessed with my own eyes.
It is now crystal-clear that our capitalistic
systemas all systems sometimes dohas experienced
a profound failure, a failure with a whole variety of root
causes, each interacting and reinforcing the other: The stock
market mania, driven by the idea that we were in a New Era;
the notion that our corporations were trees that could grow
not only to the sky but beyond; the rise of the imperial chief
executive officer; the failure of our gatekeepersthose
auditors, regulators, legislators, and boards of directors
who forgot to whom they owed their loyaltythe change
in our financial institutions from being stock owners
to being stock traders; the hype of Wall Street's stock
promoters; the frenzied excitement of the media; and of course
the eager and sometimes greedy members of the investing public,
reveling in the easy wealth that seemed like a cornucopia,
at least while it lasted. There is plenty of blame to go around.
But even as it drove stock prices up, this happy conspiracy
among all of the interested parties drove business standards
down. Yes, the victory of investors in the great bull
market had a thousand fathers. But the defeat in the great
bear market that followed seems to be an orphan.
If we had to name a single father of
the bubble, we would hardly need a DNA test to do so. That
father is executive compensation, made manifest in the fixed-price
stock option. When executives are paid for raising the
price of their company's stock rather than for increasing
their company's value, they don't need to be told what to
do: Achieve strong, steady earnings growth and tell Wall Street
about it. Set "guidance" targets with public pronouncements
of your expectations, and then meet your targetsand
do it consistently, without fail. First, do it the old-fashioned
way, by increasing volumes, cutting costs, raising productivity,
bringing in technology, and developing new products and services.
Then, when making it and doing it isn't enough, meet
your goals by counting it, pushing accounting principles
to their very edge. And when that isn't enough, cheat.
As we now know, too many firms did exactly that.
The stated rationale for fixed-price stock options
is that they "link the interests of management with the
interest of shareholders." That turns out to be a falsehood.
For managers don't hold the shares they acquire. They
sell them, and promptly. Academic studies indicate that nearly
all stock options are exercised as soon as they vest,
and the stock is sold immediately. Indeed, the term
"cashless exercise"where the firm purchases
the stock for the executive, sells it, and is repaid when
the proceeds of the sale are deliveredbecame commonplace.
(Happily, it is no longer legal.) We have rewarded our executives,
not for long-term economic reality, but for short-term market
perception.
Creating Wealthfor Management
Even if executives were required to hold their
stock for an extended period, however, stock options are fundamentally
flawed. They are not adjusted for the cost of capital, providing
a free ride even for executives who produce only humdrum returns.
They do not take into account dividends, so there is a perverse
incentive to avoid paying them. Stock options reward the absolute
performance of a stock rather than performance relative
to peers or to a stock market index, so executive compensation
tends to be like a lottery, creating unworthy centimillionaires
in bull markets and eliminating rewards even for worthy performers
in bear markets.
While these issues could be resolved by the
use of restricted stock, or by raising the option price each
year, or by linking the stock performance with a market index,
such sensible programs were almost never used. Why? Because
those alternative schemes require corporations to count the
cost as an expense. (Heaven forbid!) The cost of fixed-price
options alone is conspicuous by its absence on the company's
expense statement. As the compensation consultants are wont
to say, these stock options are "free."
The net result of the granting of huge options
to corporate managers, all the while overstating earnings
by ignoring them as an expense, is that total executive compensation
went through the roof. In the early 1980s, the compensation
of the average chief executive officer was 42 times that of
the average worker; by the year 2000, the ratio had soared
to 531(!) times. The rationale was that these executives had
"created wealth" for their shareholders. But if
we actually measure the success of corporate America,
it's hard to see how that could be the case. During that two-decade
period, while corporations had projected their earnings
growth at an average annual rate of 11½%, they actually
delivered growth of 6% per yearonly half of their
goal, and even less than the 6½% growth rate of our
economy. How that lag can be the stuff to drive average
CEO compensation to a cool $11 million in 2001 is one of the
great anomalies of the age.
The fact is that the executives had "created
wealth" for themselves, but not for their shareowners.
And when the stock market values melted away, they had long
since sold much of their stock. Let me give you a few examples;
- AOL Time Warner. In an extraordinary example of
the delusions of grandeur that characterized the information
age, the news of this marriage of the "new economy"
and the "old economy" as 2000 began, sent the
price of Time Warner soaring to a then-all time high of
$90 per share. But AOL's revenues began to tumble almost
immediately, and the company recently reported losses totaling
$98 billion(!). But in the first three years, the
founder of AOL (and the Chairman of the merged company)
sold nearly one-half billion dollars worth of his
shares, mostly at boom-level prices. Today, the stock languishes
at $10, down almost 90% from the high.
- Sprint. When they agreed to merge with WorldCom
in October 1999, the directors accelerated the vesting of
its executives' stock options. Although the merger scheme
quickly fell apart, two senior executives quickly sold $290
million of their optioned shares at prices apparently in
the $60 range. They also paid the firm's auditors $5.8 million
(!) for a clever plan to circumvent the tax laws, and pay
not a penny of tax on these gains. (Yet! The IRS is now
challenging the tax-evasion device.) Today, Sprint sells
at about $13 per share, down 83% from its high.
- General Electric. While clearly a blue chip company,
the price of its shares has dropped from $60 to $23 per
share since August 2000, a cool $370 billion reduction in
its market value. Amid growing investor concern about its
tendency to smooth its reported earnings by "creative
accounting" practices, its once legendary leader is
not looking so good lately. Yet his total compensation from
1997 through 2000 came to nearly $550 million, plus another
$200 million from the sale of option shares, some at prices
of $55 or more. Now retired, he is still well-paid: a pension
of $357,000, plus another $377,000 for consulting services,
a total of $734,000per month! He must enjoy
an expensive life style that leaves little to spare, for
a recent report placed his monthly charitable giving at
just $614.) Such is the world of executive compensation
in corporate America today.
Clearly, owners' capitalism had been
superceded by managers' capitalism, and managers' capitalism
has created great distortions in our society. And chief executives,
with all their fame, their jet planes, their perquisites,
their pension plans, their club dues, their Park Avenue apartments,
seem to forget that they are employees of the corporation's
owners, and the owners apparently forgotten it, too. But their
behavior has not gone unnoticed. They are now close to the
bottom of the barrel in public trust. A recent survey showed
that while 75% of the general public trust shopkeepers, 73%
trust the military, and 60% trust doctors, only 25% trust
corporate executives, slightly above the 23% that trust used-car
dealers.
The Failure of the Gatekeepers
What happened? How did it all come to pass?
Basically, we have had a failure of just about every gatekeeper
we've traditionally relied on to make sure that corporations
would be operated with honesty and integrity, and in the interests
of their owners. Independent auditors became business partners
of management. Government regulations were relaxed, and our
elected officials not only didn't care, but actually aided
and abetted the malfeasance. The elected representatives of
the ownersthe Boards of Directorslooked on the
proceedings with benign neglect, apparently unmindful of the
impending storm.
Let's begin with our public accountants. It
would seem obvious that they should have constituted the first
line of defense against pushing accounting standards to the
edge and beyond, and, hard as it may be to discover, at least
some defense against fraud. But the accounting standards themselves
had gradually become debased. "Cookie jar" reserves
were created after corporate mergers, and off-balance sheet
special purpose enterprises flourished, creating debt invisible
to the public eye and giving "financial engineering"
a whole new meaning. Of course the pressure has always been
on accountants to agree with the corporate clients who pay
them for their services. But over the past decade, to that
seemingly unavoidable conflict of interest has been added
the conflict of being business partners with their clients,
providing management consulting services whose revenues often
dwarf their audit fees. In the year 2000, for example, U.S.
corporations paid their auditors nearly $3 billion for auditing
services, only one-half of the $6 billion paid for consulting.
This added pressure on accountants to accede
to management's demands, coming as managers promised quarterly
earnings growth that was impossible to deliver, led to a company's
numbers becoming more important than a company's businessa
direct contradiction to the advice given to his colleagues
by James Anyon, America's first accountant, way back in 1912:
"Think and act upon facts, truths, and principles, and
regard figures only as things to express them . . . so proceeding,
(you will be) a credit to one of the truest and finest professions
in the land." The "creative accounting" of
the recent era has taken us a long, long way from the wisdom
of relying on figures to present facts.
On the regulatory and legislative front, our
public servants were also pressed into relaxing existing regulations
for accounting standards and disclosure. When proposals for
reform camefor example, requiring that stock options
actually be counted as a compensation expense, or prohibiting
accountants from providing consulting services to the firms
they auditthe outrage of our legislators, inspired (if
that's the right word) both by political contributions and
by the fierce lobbying efforts of both corporate America and
the accounting profession, thwarted these long overdue changes.
Too many of our elected officials ought to be ashamed of themselves
for their "play for pay" morality. Two centuries
ago, Thomas Jefferson said, "I hope we shall crush in
its birth the aristocracy of our monied corporations which
dare already to challenge our government in a trial of strength,
and bid defiance to the laws of our country." We didn't,
of course, do so. But rather than defying our laws in this
recent era of managers' capitalism, our monied corporations
thwarted remedial legislation (it's a lot easier!), and compromised
the highest interests of their investors.
The Role of the Board
That brings us to the board of directors. It
is their job to be good stewards of the corporate property
entrusted to them. In medieval England, the common use of
the word "stewardship" meant the responsible use
of a congregation's resources in the faithful service of
God. In the corporate sense, the word has come to mean
the use of the enterprise's resources in the faithful service
of its owners. But somehow the system let us down. As boards
of directors far too often turned over to the company's managers
the virtually unfettered power to place their own interests
first, both the word and the concept of stewardship became
conspicuous by their absence from corporate America's values.
Serving as rubber-stamps for management, company
directors have been responsible for approving option plans
that are grossly excessive; audits in which the auditors are
not independent appraisers of financial statements but partners
of management; and mergers based on forcing the numbers rather
than on improving the business. (As it turned out, according
to Business Week, 63% of all mergers have destroyed
corporate value.) Directors also approved ethical codes in
which words like "integrity," "trust"
and "vision" were the order of the day, but corporate
actions were another story. Some 60% of corporate employees,
for example, report that they have observed violations of
law or company policy at their firms, and 207 of 300 "whistle-blowers"
report they have lost their jobs as a result.
Yet our society has lionized our boards of
directors nearly as much as our vaunted CEOs. Early in 2001,
for example, Chief Executive magazine told us that
"dramatic improvements in corporate governance have swept
through the American economic system, [thanks to] enlightened
CEOs and directors who voluntarily put through so many [changes]
designed to make the operations of boards more effective."
In particular, the magazine praised a certain "New Economy"
company, "with a board that works hard to keep up with
things . . . and working committees with functional responsibilities
where disinterested oversight is required," a company
whose four highest values were stated as, "Communication;
Respect; Excellence; and Integrityopen, honest, and
sincere . . . We continue to raise the bar for everyone (because)
the great fun here will be for all of us to discover just
how good we can really be." As it happens, we do
now know just how good it could be: The company, so good that
its board was named the third best among all of thousands
of boards in corporate America for 2000, is bankrupt. While
its executives reaped billions in compensation, its employees
are jobless, their retirement savings obliterated. Its reputation
is shredded beyond repair. It is, of course, Enron.
The board of directors is the ultimate governing
body of the corporation, and the directors are stewards charged
with the responsibility of preserving and building the company
over the long-term. Yet the directors of corporate America
couldn't have been unaware of the management's aggressive
"earnings guidance;" nor of the focus on raising
the price of the stock, never mind at what cost to the value
of the corporation; nor of the fact that the lower the dividend
the more capital the company retains; nor that it was management
that hired the consultants who recommended to the compensation
committee higher compensation for that very same management,
year after year, even when its actual accomplishments in building
the business were hardly out of the ordinary. Surely it is
fair to say that it is our corporate directors who should
bear the ultimate responsibility for what went wrong with
corporate America.
Oh, No They Shouldn't!
Or should they? Why should the board bear the
ultimate responsibility when it doesn't have the ultimate
responsibility? Of course the directors' responsibility is
large indeed, but it is the stockholders themselves who bear
the ultimate responsibility for corporate governance.
And as investing has become institutionalized, stockholders
have gained the realas compared with the theoreticalpower
to exercise their will. Once owned largely by a diffuse and
inchoate group of individual investors, each one with relatively
modest holdings, today the ownership of stocks is concentratedfor
better or worseamong a remarkably small group of institutions
whose potential power is truly awesome. The 100 largest managers
of pension funds and mutual funds alone now represent the
ownership of one-half of all U.S. equities: Absolute control
over corporate America. Together, these 100 large institutional
investors constitute the great 800-pound gorilla who can sit
wherever he wants to sit at the board table.
But with all that power has come little interest
in corporate governance. That amazing disconnection between
the potential and the realityawesome power, yet largely
unexercised-reminds me of the original version of the motion
picture "Mighty Joe Young." In the film, the protagonist
was a fierce gorilla who destroyed every object in his path.
But whenever he heard the strains of "Beautiful Dreamer"
he became serene and compliant. Not to push this analogy too
farespecially for those who have not seen the film!but
I fear that, as institutional managers consider their responsibility
for good corporate citizenship, they are hearing the sweet
strains of "Beautiful Dreamer" playing in the background.
Yet mutual fund managers could hardly have been
ignorant of what was going on in corporate America. Even before
the stock market bubble burst, the industry's well-educated,
highly-trained, experienced professional analysts and portfolio
managers must have been poring over company fiscal
statements; evaluating corporate plans; and measuring the
extent to which long-term corporate goals were being achieved,
how cash flow compared with reported earnings, and the extent
to which those ever-fallacious "pro forma" earnings
diverged from the reality. Yet few, if any, voices were raised.
Somehow our professional investors either didn't understand,
or understood but ignored, the house of cards that the stock
market had become. We have worshiped at the altar of the precise
but ephemeral price of the stock, forgetting that the eternal
sovereign is the intrinsic value of the corporationsimply
the discounted value of its future cash flow.
We have yet to accept our responsibility for
our abject failure, for the fact is that we have become, not
an own-a-stock industry, but a rent-a-stock
industry. During the past year, for example, the average
equity fund turned over its portfolio at a 110% ratemeaning
that the average stock was held for just eleven months.
When a company's stock may not even remain in a fund's portfolio
by the time the company's next annual meeting rolls around,
proxy voting and responsible corporate citizenship will rarely
be found on the fund manager's agenda. What is more, money
managers may avoid confrontation because even valid corporate
activism could hurt the manager's ability to attract the assets
of a corporation's pension account and 401(k) thrift plan,
or limit its analysts' access to corporate information. Further,
despite convincing information to the contrary, fund managers
generally perceive only tenuous linkage between governance
and stock price. But for whatever reason, the record clearly
shows that the stockowners themselvesand especially
the mutual fund industrypay only sparse attention to
corporate governance issues. "We have met the enemy,
and he is us."
Actions and Reactions
As Sir Isaac Newton said, "for every action
there is an equal and opposite reaction," and the reaction
to the stock market boom and the mismanagement of so many
of our corporations, to state the obvious, is already upon
us. The first reaction to the bull market, of course, was
the bear market that holds us in its throes to this day. The
stock market, having quickly doubled from the start of 1997
to the high in March 2000 then dropped by half through mid-October
2002. That combination of percentagesplus 100% then
minus 50%of course produces a net gain of zero. (Think
about it!) But with the modest recovery that then ensued,
stocks are just 10% higher than their levels were when 1997
began.
The sharp decline, it seems to me, has brought
us "back to (or at least toward) normalcy" in valuation.
And even after the great bear market, the return on
stocks during 1982 through 2002 averaged 13% per year, surely
an attractive outcome for long-term stock owners. Through
the miracle of compounding, those who owned stocks in 1982
and still held them in 2002 had multiplied that capital ten
times over. So for all of the stock market's wild and
wooly extremes, owners who bought and held common stocks
have been well-compensated for the risks they assumed. For
such investors, the coming of the bubble and then its goingthe
boom and then the bustsimply did not matter.
But that doesn't mean there weren't winners
and losers during the maniaand lots of both. Simply
put, the winners were those who sold their stocks in
the throes of the halcyon era that is now history. The losers
were those who bought them. Let's think first about the winners.
A large proportion of these shares that were sold were those
of corporate executives who had acquired vast holdings of
their companies' stocks through options, and those of entrepreneurs
whose companies had gone newly-public as Wall Street investment
banking firms underwrote huge volumes of initial stock offerings,
many already defunct. Fortune magazine recently identified
a group of executives in just 25 corporations in those categories,
whose total share of sales came to $23 billion-nearly a billion
dollars each.
Winners and Losers
Other winners included the financial intermediariesinvestment
bankers and brokers who sold the high-flying stocks to their
clients, and mutual fund managers who sold more than half
a trillion(!) dollars in speculative funds to the public.
Why were they winners? Because the investment banking, brokerage,
and management fees for their activities reached staggering
levels. More than a few individual investment bankers saw
their annual compensation reach well into the tens of millions,
and at least a half-dozen owners of fund management companies
accumulated personal wealth in the billion dollar range, including
one family said to be at the $30 billion level.
The losers, of course, were those who bought
the stocks. "Greater fools?" Perhaps. But paradoxically,
in order to avoid the dilution in their earnings that would
otherwise have resulted from issuing those billions of optioned
shares, the very corporations that issued those shares at
dirt-cheap prices bought them back at the inflated prices
of the day. But most of the buying came from the great American
publicoften in their personal accounts, and often through
ever more popular 401(k) thrift planssometimes directly,
by buying individual stocks; sometimes indirectly,
through mutual funds. Greed, naiveté, the absence of
common sense, and aggressive salesmanship all played a role
in the rush to buy speculative stockstechnology, the
internet, telecommunications-that were part of the "new
economy." During the peak two years of the bubble, $425
billion of investor capital flowed into mutual funds favoring
those types of speculative growth stocks and $40 billion actually
flowed out of those stodgy "old economy"
value funds.
Clearly there was a massive transfer of wealtha
transfer, I believe, of as much as $2 trillionduring
the late bubble, from public investors to corporate insiders
and financial intermediaries. Such transfers, of course, are
not without parallel all through human history. For whenever
speculation takes precedence over investment,
there is always a day of reckoning for the investors in the
financial markets.
Fixing the Governance System
It's important to understand this history of
what went wrong in corporate America and its impact on our
financial markets, because only if we understand the root
causes can we consider how to remedy them. So as I promised
at the outset, I'm going to discuss the progress that is being
made to right those wrongs. Newton's law holds here as well,
for the reaction to the failures of our capitalistic system
was swift in coming. Surprisingly, however it was not the
generalized problems of pushy earnings, faulty accounting,
hyped expectations, imperial executives, loose governance,
excessive speculation and even the great bear market that
were the catalysts for reform. Rather, it was a handful of
scandalsthose few "bad apples," including
Enron, Adelphia, WorldCom, Global Crossingthat galvanized
the public's attention and generated the powerful reaction
that, at long last, will help to bring the reform we need
in our financial markets.
This pervasive reaction to the unacceptable
actions of those we trusted to be our corporate stewards came
swiftly.
- Last July, Congress passed the Sarbanes-Oxley bill, requiring
senior corporate managers to attest to the validity of their
companies' financial statements, providing for disgorgement
of profits by executives who sell stocks and later restate
earnings, and replacing self-regulation of accountants with
a new federal Public Company Accounting Oversight Board,
as well as other salutary provisions.
- In August, The New York Stock Exchange approved a powerful
set of corporate governance rules for its listed companiesmost
of the major corporations in Americaincluding substantially
greater director independence, and new standards for audit
committees and compensation committees. It even contemplated
a "lead director" who is independent of corporate
management. These changes should at long last lead to a
separation of the powers of governance from the powers
of management, and help us to return to a system of owners'
capitalism.
- Just last month, The Conference Board Blue-Ribbon Commission
on Public Trust and Private Enterpriseon which I was
privileged to servecompleted its recommendations of
a powerful set of "best practices" for public
corporations. Our report on executive compensation included
a recommendation that all types of stock options
be treated as corporate expense, at last making it clear
that fixed price options are not "free." On corporate
governance, we recommended an independent nominating/governance
committee; the establishment and enforcement of codes of
ethics; and the separation of the Chairman and CEO roles,
making clear the distinction between ownership and management.
On accounting standards, our Commission's recommendations
include further strengthening of audit committees and auditor
rotation, and a challenge to the remaining Big Four (also
known as "the Final Four") accounting firms to
focus on quality audits, and to eliminate all consulting
and tax services that involve advocacy positions, including
those grotesque tax-shelters designed so executives can
circumvent the law.
Two centuries ago, James Madison said, "If
men were angels, we wouldn't need government."
Today I say to our corporate leaders, "If chief executives
were angels, we wouldn't need corporate governance."
Through the reactions of Congress, The New York Stock Exchange,
and The Conference Board Commission, to say nothing of the
media, we're on our way to getting better governance right
now.
Astonishingly, however, the reaction of institutional
investors to the failings of our system has yet to occur.
Even after the bear market that devastated the value of our
clients' equity holdings, the only response we've heard from
the mutual fund industry is the sound of silence. The reason
for that silence seems to be that the overwhelming majority
of mutual funds continue to engage, not in the process of
long-term investing on the basis of intrinsic corporate values,
but in the process of short-term speculation based on momentary
stock prices. The typical fund manager has lots of
interest in a company's price momentumits quarterly
earnings and whether or not they are meeting the guidance
given to Wall Street. But when it comes to what a company
is actually worthits fundamental earning power, its
balance sheet, its long-term strategy, its intrinsic valuethere
seems to be far less interest. When Oscar Wilde described
the cynic as "a man who knows the price of everything
but the value of nothing," he could have as easily been
talking about fund managers.
Fixing the Investment System
It must be clear that we need not only good
managers of corporate America, but good owners.
That goal will not be easy to accomplish. For it will
require shareholdersespecially institutional shareholdersto
abandon the focus on short-term speculation that has characterized
the recent era and return at last to a focus on long-term
investment. We need to return to behaving as owners
rather than as traders, to return to principles of
prudence and trusteeship rather than of speculation and salesmanship,
and to return to acting as good stewards of the assets entrusted
to our care. For example:
- Institutions and individual investors must begin to act
as responsible corporate citizens, voting our proxies thoughtfully
and communicating our views to corporate managements. We
should be prepared to nominate directors and make business
proposals in proxies, and regulators should facilitate these
actions. The SEC's recent decision to require mutual funds
to disclose how we vote our proxies is a long overdue first
step in this process.
- Shareowners must demand that corporations focus the information
provided to the investment community on long-term financial
goals, cash flows, intrinsic values, and strategic direction.
Quarterly "earnings guidance," so omnipresent
today, should be eliminated. So should efforts to
meet financial targets through creative accounting techniques.
- Given the enormous latitude accorded by "Generally
Accepted Accounting Principles," owners must demand
full disclosure of the impact of significant accounting
policy decisions. Indeed, we ought to consider requiring
that corporations report earnings both on a "most aggressive"
basis, (presum· ably what they are reporting today),
and on a "most conservative" basis as well.
- Mutual funds must report to their owners not only the
direct costs of mutual fund investing (such as management
fees and sales loads), but the indirect costs, including
the costs of past and expected portfolio turnover and its
attendant tax impact. Funds must also desist from advertising
short-term investment performance (and perhaps from any
performance advertising, at all).
- Policymakers must develop differential tax strategies
aimed at stemming excessive speculation. Some years ago,
for example, Warren Buffett suggested a 100% tax on short-term
capital gains, paid not only by taxable investors, but
also by tax-exempt pension funds. While that tax rate
might seem a tad extreme, perhaps a 50% tax on very
short-term gains on trading stocks would force investors
to come to their senses.
- Perhaps most important of all, investor/owners must demand
that corporations step-up their dividend payouts. Despite
the absence of evidence that earnings retention leads to
sound capital allocations, the payout rate has been declining
for years. Yet history tells us that higher dividend payouts
are actually associated with higher future returns
on stocks. Investing for income is a long-term strategy,
and investing for capital gains is a short-term strategy;
the turnover of dividend paying stocks is at but one-half
of the rate for non-dividend paying stocks.
Back to the Future
Calling for a return to the eternal principles
of long-term investing is more than mere moralizing. Our very
society depends on it, for our economic growth depends upon
capital formation. Way back in 1936, Lord Keynes warned us,
"When enterprise becomes a mere bubble on a whirlpool
of speculation, the position is serious. For when the capital
development of a country becomes a by-product of the activities
of a casino, the job is likely to be ill-done." As
a nation we can't afford to let that happen. The fact is that
we need a whole new mindset for institutional investors, one
in which speculation becomes a mere bubble on a whirlpool
of investment. In the mutual fund industry, we need
to go "back to the future," to return to our traditional
focus on stewardship and abandon the focus on salesmanship
that has dominated our recent history.
While the changes I have suggested will help
return us to our roots, however, the fact remains that there
is more profit potential for financial service firms in marketing
(generating huge assets to manage) than in management. For,
as both simple mathematics and the investment record of the
past clearly indicate, beating the market is a loser's game,
simply because of the staggering toll taken by the costs of
financial intermediation. When fund investors realize that
fact, they will vote with their feet, and send their hard-earned
dollars to funds that get the message. By doing so, using
Adam Smith's metaphor, "it is the individual who acts
in his own interests to better his financial condition who
will promote the natural progress of things toward improvement."
Similarly, when an investor puts his money into mutual funds
that invest rather than speculate, he earns the highest possible
proportion of whatever returns the financial markets are generous
enough to provide (of course, we know them to be low-cost
market index funds), promoting the public interest without
intending to, or even knowing, he is doing so.
That doesn't mean, however, that the trusted
fiduciary, the honest businessman, or the good merchant should
behave in an ethical way only because their clients have dragged
them, kicking and screaming, into doing what's right. The
fact is, as I noted at the outset, that in the long run good
ethics are good business, part of that virtuous circle that
builds our society. When in recent years our rule of conduct
became "I can get away with it," or, more charitably,
"I can do it because everyone else is doing it,"
integrity and ethics go out the window and the whole idea
of capitalism is soured.
Man's Better Nature
If my appeal to man's better nature seems hopelessly
out of tune with the discouraging era I've described this
evening, I can only remind you that Adam Smith, that patron
saint of capitalism, would be on my side. Even before The
Wealth of Nations, he wrote The Theory of Moral Sentiments,
reminding us of the better nature that "has lighted up
the human heart, capable of counteracting the strongest impulses
of self-love . . . It is reason, principle, conscience, the
inhabitant of the breast, the man within, the great judge
and arbitrator of our conduct who calls to us with a voice
capable of astonishing the most presumptuous of our passions
that we are of the multitude, in no respect better than any
other in it . . . he who shows us the propriety of reining
in the greatest interests of our own for the yet greater interests
of others, the love of what is honorable and noble, of the
grandeur, and dignity, and superiority of our characters."
At last we are beginning a wave of reform in
corporate governance and are undertaking the task of turning
America's capital development process away from speculation
and toward enterprise. It will be no mean task. For there's
even more at stake than improving the practices of
governance and investing. We must also establish a higher
set of principles. This nation's founding fathers believed
in high moral standards, in a just society, and in the virtuous
conduct of our affairs. Those beliefs shaped the very character
of our nation. If character countsand I have
absolutely no doubt that character does countthe
ethical failings of today's business and financial model,
the financial manipulation of corporate America, the willingness
of those of us in the field of investment management to accept
practices that we know are wrong, the conformity that keeps
us silent, the selfishness that lets our greed overwhelm our
reason, all erode the character we'll require in the years
ahead, more than ever in the wake of this great bear market
and the investor disenchantment it reflects. The motivations
of those who seek the rewards earned by engaging in commerce
and finance struck the imagination of no less a man than Adam
Smith as "something grand and beautiful and noble, well
worth the toil and anxiety." I can't imagine that anyone
in this sanctuary this evening would use those words to describe
what capitalism is about today. The sooner the better when
we can again apply those words to our business and financial
leadersand mean them.
A Call For Virtue
So there is much work to be done. But it's
about much more than assuring that the "bottom line"
of business is not only stated with probity, but focused on
investing based on long-term corporate value rather than speculating
on short-term stock prices. It is the enduring reality of
intrinsic valuemake no mistake, the worth of a corporation
is neither more nor less than the discounted value
of its future cash flowsnot than the ephemeral
perception of the price of a stock that carries the day. And
the enterprises that will endure are those that generate the
most profits for their owners, something they do best when
they take into account the interests of their customers, their
employees, their communities, and indeed the interests of
our society. Please don't think of the ideas merely as
foolish idealism. They are the ideals that capitalism
has depended upon from the very outset. Again, hear Adam Smith:
"He is certainly not a good citizen who does not wish
to promote, by every means of his power, the welfare of the
whole society of his fellow citizens." So it's up to
each one of us in this sanctuary tonight to speak up, to speak
out, and to demand that our corporations and our fund managers
represent our interests rather than their ownthe owners
first, not the mangers. Please don't think that your voice
doesn't matter. In the words of the motto I've tried to ingrain
in the minds of our Vanguard crewmembers, "Even one person
can make a difference."
While a call for virtue in the conduct of the
affairs of corporate Americaand investment America,
toomay sound like a hollow "do-good" platitude,
the fact is that in the long run the high road is the only
possible road to national achievement and prosperity, to making
the most of those priceless assets that America have been
endowed by her Creator. On this point, I am unable to find
more compelling wisdom than some splendid words attributed,
perhaps apochryphally, to Alexis de Tocqueville. I hope these
words will resound far beyond the parochial issues I've addressed
this evening into the larger world around ustroubled
as it is and at the brink of warwords that are especially
appropriate in the sanctuary where we convene:
"I sought for the greatness and
genius of America in her harbors and her rivers, in her
fertile fields and boundless forests, and it was not there.
"I sought for the greatness and
genius of America in her rich mines and her vast world commerce,
and in her institutions of learning, and it was not there.
"I sought for the greatness and
genius of America in her democratic Congress and her matchless
Constitution, and it was not there.
"Not until I went into the churches
of America and heard her pulpits flame with righteousness
did I understand the secret of her genius and power.
"America is great because America
is good, and if America ever ceases to be good, America
will cease to be great."
And so it is with corporate America and investment
America too. If we return to goodness, we can again strive
for greatness. Let's, all of us together, make sure that happens.
1. James Surowiecki, Forbes,
December 23, 2002. Back
2. William Pfaff, September 9, 2002. Back
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